How Might a Scientist Investigate Annual Patterns of Fires?
ES0201  Fire Danger

This map shows the fire potential calculated by the National Interagency Fire Center for the dates of your case study. They used methods similar to yours to quantify the risk of fire, but they included more attributes and weighted some of the quantities differently in their model.

  !   Move your cursor over each site to see an enlarged view. Compare the color at each site with the legend to estimate the location's potential for wildfire.

USDA Forest Service, Wildland Fire Assessment System

11. Describe how well or how poorly your fire potential ratings correlate with the national fire danger map.

12. Recall the hypothesis you were testing: An area's potential for fire can be predicted by rating and averaging six physical conditions: Relative Greeness, Departure from Average Greeness, Experimental Live Moisture, Observed Temperature, Observed Relative Humidity, and Observed Wind Speed. Based on the data you collected, should you accept or reject the hypothesis? Explain your answer.

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